UFC FN tonight — Muhammad vs Bonfim · 12 fights · consensus picks + live odds

Predict
every
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A four-model consensus — V14 + V15 + Paperclip + market odds, stacked via logistic regression — trained on 8,500+ fights. 83.9% live on high-confidence picks (26 of 31 in 2026); 84.9% on high-confidence holdout (n=52); 75.6% across 2026 cards (n=90). Every number n-cited. No guesswork.

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The numbers speak for themselves

2025-26 holdout · real-market ROI basis (BFO closing). Every claim n-cited, strata stated. See full methodology →

83.9%
Live High-Confidence
26 of 31 flagged calls · 2026 live trial · not a backtest
84.9%
Holdout High-Confidence
L+H subset · n=52 · 2025-26 holdout (different strata from live)
75.6%
2026 Card Accuracy
winner picks · n=90 · frozen-2026-01-01 model
71.59%
Consensus Pick Accuracy
4-model ensemble · n=428 · 2025-26 holdout
+8.09%
Consensus Pick ROI
n=428 · real-market closing odds · 1u flat
76.21%
UNANIMOUS Picks Hit
all 3 models agree · n=311
70.66%
Stacking Ensemble
production stack · n=1,060 · 2023-26 holdout

Past performance does not guarantee future results. ¼-Kelly stacking ensemble: $1,000 → $29,070 (+2,807%) over 3.5 years on n=706 bets — 59% peak drawdown. All accuracy + ROI numbers are 2025-2026 holdout, real-market basis (BFO closing). TOSS-UP picks excluded.

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Most prediction sites give you gut feelings dressed up as analysis. We give you a machine that learns from every fight ever thrown.

01

Every Fight. Ever.

8,500+ UFC fights spanning 12+ years. Striking, grappling, physical attributes, Elo ratings, historical odds — all cleaned and structured.

02

Engineered Intelligence

We don't just look at records. Proprietary features capture style matchups, momentum, aging curves, and how fighters perform under pressure.

03

Multi-Model Ensemble

Four algorithms compete and collaborate. A dual architecture blends market-aware and market-blind predictions to avoid overfitting.

04

Find the Edge

We scan betting markets in real time. When our model disagrees with the market, we flag it. That's where the money is.

Four models. One prediction.

Each algorithm sees the fight differently. When they agree, we're confident. When they don't, we tell you.

Model A

Statistical foundation — finds the signal in the noise

Model B

Pattern recognition — learns complex matchup dynamics

Model C

Speed optimised — processes every angle at scale

Model D

Robustness engine — guards against overfitting

This Saturday's predictions

UFC FN tonight · Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim · 12 fights · consensus picks + live odds.

UFC FN · Muhammad vs Bonfim · Tonight
7 June 2026 · UFC Apex, Las Vegas · main card 10 PM ET / 3 AM BST
LIVE
Full 12-fight card with consensus picks, tier ratings, market lines, and per-fight blurbs — auto-rendering from the live data feed.
View card →

Not all picks are equal

Every prediction comes with a confidence tier. The edge lives in LOCK and HIGH — that's where you should focus.

LOCK
11-1
2026 · 91.7% · mostly mechanical agreement with -300+ closing favorites · methodology
HIGH
79.4%
2026 · 27-7
MED
67%
solid · worth tracking
LOW / TOSS-UP
~55%
coin flip · proceed with caution

Every card. Every prediction. Every result.

Full pre-fight analysis, FightIQ model predictions, and post-fight results for every UFC event in 2026.

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77%
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77%
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71%
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85%
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58%
FN 269: Emmett vs Vallejos Mar 14 · Las Vegas · 14 fights
86%
FN 270: Evloev vs Murphy Mar 21 · London · 13 fights
85%
FN 271: Adesanya vs Pyfer Mar 28 · Seattle · 12 fights
58%
FN 272: Moicano vs Duncan Apr 4 · Las Vegas · 13 fights
46%
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64%

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